Global economic growth is expected to slow to 3.2 per cent in calendar year 2026 from 3.4 per cent in the previous year, as the ongoing West Asia conflict triggers what is being described as the largest energy shock on … Read More
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RBI to conduct Rs 2 lakh cr 7-day VRRR auction on Friday
The Reserve Bank of India will conduct a Rs 2 lakh crore Variable Rate Reverse Repo auction next Friday. This move addresses the current surplus liquidity in the banking system. The auction aims to absorb excess funds. This proactive measure … Read More
Banks exit bulk of India rupee arbitrage positions ahead of RBI deadline, sources say
Banks have largely exited Indian rupee arbitrage trades. The Reserve Bank of India imposed limits on onshore positions to curb volatility. These measures targeted arbitrage trades between onshore and non-deliverable forward markets. Most of these positions have now been unwound. … Read More
Ceasefire Brings Hope, but Economic Recovery?
Markets are not signalling confidence in recovery; they are signalling uncertainty about it. Historically, post-conflict rallies tend to be sharp but short-lived, with nearly 30 to 40 per cent of initial gains retraced if macro clarity does not follow. So … Read More
Rupee slips as fragile Mideast truce dents stocks, bonds
The Indian rupee experienced a slight decline on Thursday. Higher oil prices, driven by concerns about the U.S.-Iran truce, impacted local stocks and bonds. Regional markets also faced pressure. Israel’s actions in Lebanon further jeopardized the Middle East ceasefire. Iranian … Read More
World Bank ups India's FY27 GDP growth projections to 6.6 pc; flags Middle-East crisis uncertainty
India’s growth forecast for FY27 is now 6.6 percent, according to the World Bank. This is a slight increase from previous estimates. However, the ongoing Middle East crisis poses a risk to this projection. While GST rate cuts are expected … Read More
India Inc CFOs back RBI’s rate hold, flag Q1 pressure amid West Asia uncertainty
India Inc’s finance heads welcomed the Reserve Bank of India’s decision to hold the repo rate at 5.25% stating that the move reflects a prudent approach of fiscal management amid increased geopolitical uncertainty due to the war in West Asia
RBI projects FY27 inflation at 4.6%, flags El Nino and conflict risks
The RBI said recent spikes in energy prices due to the conflict have emerged as a risk. Although retail prices of petrol and diesel have remained unchanged so far, the pass-through of higher global energy prices has resulted in some … Read More
RBI projects FY27 GDP growth at 6.9%, flags downside risks from West Asia conflict
India’s GDP is projected to grow at 6.9 percent in 2026-27. Strong domestic demand, particularly from consumption and investment, will drive this growth. However, the Reserve Bank of India notes significant risks. The ongoing West Asia conflict and global financial … Read More
RBI Governor flags forex swings, reinforces inflation focus for India Inc
Sanjay Malhotra clarifies forex measures are temporary, cites March volatility and reiterates focus on inflation and policy flexibility.